| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.3% | 43% | -0.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.6% | 76% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.6% | 61% | -6.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 46% | +8.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.0% | 28.1% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 34.8% | 28.3% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 37.1% | 30.0% | 32.9% |
| Asteras Tripolis | Kifisia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1472 | 1508 |
| Surface Elo | 1472 | 1508 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 5 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Panthrakikos FC Komotini | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Levadeiakos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | APO Levadiakos FC | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Panathinaikos | 1 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Panathinaikos | 1 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Iraklis | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Iraklis | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Aris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Aris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Panaitolikos Agrinio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 May 2026 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 - 0 | Kifisia |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Kifisia | 0 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Kifisia | 0 - 0 | Asteras Tripolis |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 2 | Kifisia |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 2 | Kifisia |
| 28 Feb 2024 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 - 3 | Kifisia |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Kifisia | 1 - 3 | Asteras Tripolis |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.66 | 60.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |