| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.5% | 84% | -10.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 82.3% | 17.6% |
| logistic | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1408 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1408 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Hugo Dellien | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Hugo Dellien | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Gabriel Schenekenberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Scheidt, Augusto | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Andres Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 1 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 1 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |