| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.3% | 43% | +9.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alastair Gray | Theo Papamalamis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1560 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1560 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.70 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 11 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Emanuel Ivanisevic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Dominick Mosejczuk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Li Tu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Jack Anthrop | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Slavic, N | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Johan Oscar Lien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Hoyoung Roh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Matei Cristian Onofrei | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 29 Oct 06:15 |