| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.2% | 68% | +0.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.8% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1455 | 1494 |
| Surface Elo | 1455 | 1494 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Scramin do Lago, Joao Vitor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Tomas Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |