| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.9% | 61% | +6.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| logistic | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Teodora Kostovic | Dalma Galfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1580 | 1482 |
| Surface Elo | 1580 | 1482 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Berfu Cengiz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Fangran Tian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Ansari, Carolyn | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Elena Micic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Alice Tubello | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Pia Lovric | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Jul | H | Mayar Sherif | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Mayar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 30 Sep 06:15 |