| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.5% | 55% | -2.9% | |
| DC | Home or away | 78.3% | 82% | -4.2% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.8% | 73% | -5.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 45% | +7.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.0% | 24.1% | 32.9% |
| xgboost | 53.0% | 23.0% | 24.0% |
| logistic | 59.3% | 22.5% | 18.2% |
| Edinburgh City | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1347 | 1327 |
| Surface Elo | 1347 | 1327 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Kelty Hearts | 4 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Elgin | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Elgin | 0 - 0 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | St Mirren | 0 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Spartans | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Stirling | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Stirling | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Clydebank FC | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Clyde | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Clyde | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Dumbarton | 0 - 3 | Edinburgh City |
| 02 May 2026 | Edinburgh City | 5 - 0 | Dumbarton |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dumbarton | 1 - 2 | Edinburgh City |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Edinburgh City | 4 - 3 | Dumbarton |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Dumbarton | 1 - 2 | Edinburgh City |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |