| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 69.6% |
| logistic | 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Cameron Norrie | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1853 | 2131 |
| Surface Elo | 1853 | 2131 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 2.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.72 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.44 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Daniel Merida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 May 2025 | Cameron Norrie | 3 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 05 May 2025 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 18 Mar 2024 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 01 Aug 2022 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 07 Oct 2019 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||