| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.9% | 44% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.5% | 77% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.3% | 61% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 56% | -2.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.4% | 25.7% | 28.8% |
| xgboost | 37.0% | 21.6% | 41.5% |
| logistic | 32.8% | 28.7% | 38.5% |
| Albacete | Eldense | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1390 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1390 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.10 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.20 | 1.30 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Getafe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Sp Gijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Valladolid | 0 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | CD Soneja | 2 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Valladolid | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Valladolid | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | CD Acero | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | UD Vall de Uxo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Albacete | 0 - 1 | Eldense |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Eldense | 2 - 0 | Albacete |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Eldense | 0 - 1 | Albacete |
| 19 Dec 2023 | Albacete | 1 - 1 | Eldense |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 25 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 25 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 25 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 25 Oct 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 25 Oct 15:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.82 | 54.9% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.96 | 51.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |