| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.1% | 33% | +8.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.7% | 73% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.5% | 47% | +5.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 57% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.1% | 29.7% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.3% | 26.4% | 40.3% |
| logistic | 39.8% | 29.7% | 30.5% |
| Sunderland | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1659 | 1746 |
| Surface Elo | 1659 | 1746 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.57 | 1.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 4 D |
| 22 Oct | A | KKS Lech Poznan | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | SCU Torreense | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Brighton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Man Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Oldham | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Arsenal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Arsenal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Leeds | 0 - 1 | Sunderland |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1 - 1 | Leeds |
| 17 Feb 2025 | Leeds | 2 - 1 | Sunderland |
| 04 Oct 2024 | Sunderland | 2 - 2 | Leeds |
| 09 Apr 2024 | Leeds | 0 - 0 | Sunderland |
| 12 Dec 2023 | Sunderland | 1 - 0 | Leeds |
| 07 Apr 2018 | Leeds | 1 - 1 | Sunderland |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Sunderland | 0 - 2 | Leeds |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 25 Oct 16:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 25 Oct 16:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.63 | 38.0% | 25 Oct 16:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Oct 16:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 25 Oct 16:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.27 | 30.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.03 | 33.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.74 | 57.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |