| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.1% | 65% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 83.2% | 88% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 78.5% | 82% | -3.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 65% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.4% | 22.7% | 19.9% |
| xgboost | 63.0% | 20.2% | 16.8% |
| logistic | 69.4% | 19.5% | 11.1% |
| Hearts | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1803 | 1691 |
| Surface Elo | 1803 | 1691 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.82 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.18 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.55 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Rangers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Celtic | 1 - 7 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | St Mirren | 5 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Kilmarnock | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Celtic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Celtic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Aberdeen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Aberdeen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Falkirk | 2 - 1 | Hearts |
| 13 May 2026 | Hearts | 3 - 0 | Falkirk |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Hearts | 1 - 0 | Falkirk |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Falkirk | 0 - 2 | Hearts |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Hearts | 3 - 0 | Falkirk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.75 | 21.1% | 08 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 08 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 08 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 08 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 08 Nov 15:00 |