| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.7% | 61% | -5.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.5% | 52.4% |
| logistic | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1585 | 1665 |
| Surface Elo | 1585 | 1665 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Omar Jasika | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Yaroslav Demin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Mert Alkaya | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Yusuke Kusuhara | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Sho Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Jay Friend | 0 - 2 | Yu Hsiou Hsu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |