| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.3% | 53% | +3.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 45.0% | 54.9% |
| logistic | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1523 | 1547 |
| Surface Elo | 1523 | 1547 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Vlad Cristian Breazu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Vadym Ursu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Alexis Galarneau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Ryan Seggerman | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Christian Langmo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Robert Guna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Sean Cuenin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |