OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Juventus 1.60 2 - 0 1.40 Atalanta
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 66.9%58%+9.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 89.5%83%+6.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 85.6%76%+9.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 44.6%53%-8.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 43.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.6%27.5%31.9%
xgboost60.4%25.4%14.2%
logistic64.7%22.8%12.5%
Inputs the models saw
JuventusAtalanta
Elo (pre-match)17721715
Surface Elo17721715
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.40
Form trend0.400.50
Season points per game1.751.50
Season goals for / game1.501.25
Season goals against / game1.001.25
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 6 D
Juventus: last 5
13 SepASassuolo2 - 3L
06 SepHAc Milan1 - 1D
29 AugHParma2 - 0W
23 AugAFrosinone1 - 0W
24 MayATorino2 - 2D
Atalanta: last 5
20 SepHRavenna FC 19130 - 2L
12 SepHCagliari1 - 2L
05 SepARoma1 - 2L
31 AugHBologna1 - 0W
23 AugHSassuolo2 - 1W
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Atalanta0 - 1Juventus
27 Sep 2025Juventus1 - 1Atalanta
09 Mar 2025Juventus0 - 4Atalanta
14 Jan 2025Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
10 Mar 2024Juventus2 - 2Atalanta
01 Oct 2023Atalanta0 - 0Juventus
07 May 2023Atalanta0 - 2Juventus
22 Jan 2023Juventus3 - 3Atalanta
13 Feb 2022Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
27 Nov 2021Juventus0 - 1Atalanta
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.2519.1%20 Sep 17:00
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%20 Sep 17:00
Bet3651X2home1.6261.7%20 Sep 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8354.6%20 Sep 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0349.3%20 Sep 17:00
SportyBet1X2away5.0619.8%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9525.3%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7656.8%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8853.2%20 Sep 06:16
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9651.0%20 Sep 06:16
Generated 2026-10-30 20:32 UTC