| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 54% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| logistic | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Valentin Vacherot | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1821 | 1771 |
| Surface Elo | 1821 | 1771 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 22 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Kamil Majchrzak | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 3 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Marat Sharipov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Lloyd Harris | 2 - 0 | Valentin Vacherot |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Sep 06:15 |