| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.0% | 71% | -10.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 60.2% |
| logistic | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Ryo Tabata | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1497 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1497 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 27 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Santiago De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Kirill Kivattsev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Vladyslav Orlov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |