| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.0% | 75% | +0.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 80.5% | 19.4% |
| logistic | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lisa Pigato | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1397 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1397 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Adrienn Nagy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Gimbrere, Jasmijn | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Vandromme, Jeline | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Susan Bandecchi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Naiktha Bains | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Akli, Ayana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Leyre Romero Gormaz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | A | Anna Bondar | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Emma Raducanu | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.05 | 32.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |