| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 76% | -23.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.6% | 94% | -16.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.5% | 91% | -21.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 77% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.4% | 24.1% | 22.4% |
| xgboost | 49.0% | 25.6% | 25.4% |
| logistic | 55.0% | 25.4% | 19.6% |
| Leicester | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1495 | 1463 |
| Surface Elo | 1495 | 1463 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Oxford City | 4 - 2 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Boston Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 2 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Wigan | 3 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Newport County | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Colchester | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Colchester | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Salford | 2 - 4 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Oldham | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.60 | 13.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.10 | 16.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.26 | 79.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |