| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.5% | 45% | +8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| logistic | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Matteo Martineau | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1518 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1518 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Etienne Donnet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | Max Schoenhaus |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Max Schoenhaus | 0 - 2 | Matteo Martineau |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | Max Schoenhaus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |