OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-11
🎾 ATP Challenger Olbia, Italy Men Singles · Sunday 11 October 2026, 08:00 UTC · finished
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1.20 0 - 2 1.20 Viktor Durasovic
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.5%65%-8.8%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov47.0%53.0%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost43.8%56.1%
logistic44.8%55.2%
Inputs the models saw
Mario Gonzalez FernandezViktor Durasovic
Elo (pre-match)14581486
Surface Elo14581486
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.20
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game0.002.00
Season goals for / game1.001.33
Season goals against / game2.000.67
Rest days1311
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: last 5
27 SepHMarko Topo1 - 2L
24 AugHRodrigo Pacheco Mendez0 - 2L
24 AugHMitchell Krueger2 - 0W
20 JulAKeegan Smith0 - 2L
20 JulHMiguel Tobon2 - 1W
Viktor Durasovic: last 5
29 SepHUgo Blanchet0 - 1L
28 SepAManas Dhamne2 - 1W
28 SepAUgo Blanchet0 - 2L
27 SepAMatisse Bobichon2 - 0W
24 AugAOliver Bonding0 - 2L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5365.4%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC