| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.9% | 71% | -10.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.3% | 30.6% |
| logistic | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Madison Brengle | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1581 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1581 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 5 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Nilsson, Lea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Ella Mcdonald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Elizabeth Mandlik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Thea Frodin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Lutkemeyer Obregon, A | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Reese Brantmeier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Ariana Arseneault | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Akli, Ayana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Clemence Mercier | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 29 Oct 06:15 |