| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.5% | 66% | -1.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.3% | 76.7% |
| logistic | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Cameron Norrie | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1833 | 1923 |
| Surface Elo | 1833 | 1923 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 May 2023 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Francisco Cerundolo |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Francisco Cerundolo |
| 16 May 2022 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 0 | Francisco Cerundolo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |