| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 37.9% | 48% | -10.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 70.4% | 78% | -7.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.4% | 69% | -15.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 68% | -12.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.4% | 28.5% | 42.1% |
| xgboost | 37.2% | 32.4% | 30.4% |
| logistic | 40.6% | 32.9% | 26.5% |
| Cultural Leonesa | Ponferradina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1354 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1354 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 162 | 1260 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | CD Palencia Cristo Atletico | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Ourense CF | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Gimnastica Segoviana CF | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | CD Calasanz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Pontevedra CF | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Ferrol | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | UD Llanera | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Zamora CF | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Real Aviles CF | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mirandes | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.40 | 41.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.48 | 67.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |