OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
Utrecht 2.00 1 - 1 0.80 Zwolle
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 57.9%60%-2.2%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 84.8%83%+1.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 78.8%77%+1.8%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.7%67%-3.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 61.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson63.6%19.9%16.5%
xgboost57.2%27.3%15.5%
logistic61.5%24.5%14.0%
Inputs the models saw
UtrechtZwolle
Elo (pre-match)16241457
Surface Elo16241457
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.80
Form trend-0.40-0.40
Season points per game2.001.50
Season goals for / game1.672.00
Season goals against / game2.331.00
Rest days56
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W1 W · 5 D
Utrecht: last 5
23 OctAVolendam2 - 6L
19 OctHRoda JC Kerkrade1 - 2L
18 OctATwente2 - 1W
18 OctATwente2 - 1W
11 OctHWillem II3 - 1W
Zwolle: last 5
18 OctHGo Ahead Eagles4 - 1W
18 OctHGo Ahead Eagles4 - 1W
11 OctHCambuur0 - 1L
11 OctHCambuur0 - 1L
18 SepAGroningen0 - 3L
Head to head
22 Feb 2026Utrecht1 - 1Zwolle
31 Aug 2025Zwolle0 - 2Utrecht
01 Feb 2025Zwolle3 - 3Utrecht
11 Aug 2024Utrecht1 - 0Zwolle
03 Apr 2024Utrecht5 - 1Zwolle
27 Aug 2023Zwolle1 - 0Utrecht
07 May 2022Zwolle1 - 1Utrecht
25 Sep 2021Utrecht5 - 1Zwolle
30 Jan 2021Utrecht3 - 3Zwolle
21 Nov 2020Zwolle1 - 1Utrecht
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.8120.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.4222.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6859.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5166.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6537.7%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC