OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Rochdale 1.60 0 - 5 1.80 Accrington
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.4%40%+7.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.7%79%-3.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 62.0%56%+6.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.1%54%-0.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 52.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.1%27.0%31.9%
xgboost44.6%29.0%26.4%
logistic46.9%27.7%25.4%
Inputs the models saw
RochdaleAccrington
Elo (pre-match)15461399
Surface Elo15461399
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.80
Form trend0.700.00
Season points per game1.251.25
Season goals for / game1.251.42
Season goals against / game1.421.33
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W1 W · 0 D
Rochdale: last 5
20 OctHGrimsby2 - 2D
20 OctHGrimsby2 - 2D
17 OctACrewe2 - 3L
17 OctACrewe2 - 3L
10 OctATranmere1 - 1D
Accrington: last 5
20 OctAYork1 - 1D
20 OctAYork1 - 1D
17 OctHGillingham3 - 1W
17 OctHGillingham3 - 1W
10 OctAOldham0 - 0D
Head to head
17 Apr 2021Rochdale3 - 1Accrington
10 Oct 2020Accrington2 - 1Rochdale
01 Jan 2020Accrington1 - 2Rochdale
12 Oct 2019Rochdale2 - 1Accrington
09 Apr 2019Accrington0 - 1Rochdale
24 Nov 2018Rochdale1 - 0Accrington
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2544.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.7536.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9351.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9351.8%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5040.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9252.1%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8554.0%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC