| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.1% | 71% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| logistic | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Teodora Kostovic | Berfu Cengiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1567 | 1507 |
| Surface Elo | 1567 | 1507 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Fangran Tian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Ansari, Carolyn | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Kaitlin Quevedo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Dilek, Deniz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Han Shi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Mert, Aysegul | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Martyna Kubka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 29 Sep 06:15 |