OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-20
⚽ England Amateur Premier League Cup · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · abandoned
Millwall 1.20 18:00 1.20 Sheffield Utd
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.2%34%+19.7%abandoned
DCHome or draw 81.5%59%+22.6%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 73.4%45%+28.8%abandoned
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.1%40%+13.1%abandoned
BTTSBTTS no 48.4%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.6%27.5%29.0%
xgboost60.2%25.3%14.6%
logistic61.3%24.1%14.6%
Inputs the models saw
MillwallSheffield Utd
Elo (pre-match)16151543
Surface Elo16151543
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.20
Form trend0.10-0.60
Season points per game3.000.00
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game0.002.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Millwall: last 5
17 OctHLincoln2 - 2D
17 OctHLincoln2 - 2D
13 OctHSwansea0 - 1L
13 OctHSwansea0 - 1L
10 OctAPreston North End1 - 0W
Sheffield Utd: last 5
17 OctABristol City1 - 0W
17 OctABristol City1 - 0W
14 OctAPortsmouth2 - 3L
14 OctAPortsmouth2 - 3L
10 OctHLincoln3 - 0W
Head to head
31 Jan 2026Millwall1 - 1Sheffield Utd
23 Aug 2025Sheffield Utd0 - 1Millwall
08 Apr 2025Sheffield Utd0 - 1Millwall
11 Dec 2024Millwall0 - 1Sheffield Utd
18 Feb 2023Millwall3 - 2Sheffield Utd
06 Aug 2022Sheffield Utd2 - 0Millwall
26 Feb 2022Millwall1 - 0Sheffield Utd
19 Oct 2021Sheffield Utd1 - 2Millwall
13 Apr 2019Sheffield Utd1 - 1Millwall
29 Sep 2018Millwall2 - 3Sheffield Utd
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0548.8%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1024.4%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.9034.5%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4967.1%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%20 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC