| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.3% | 58% | -6.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.8% | 82% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.3% | 75% | -7.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 68% | -1.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.4% | 23.0% | 21.6% |
| xgboost | 46.6% | 24.4% | 29.1% |
| logistic | 54.8% | 25.3% | 19.9% |
| Forest Green | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1489 | 1386 |
| Surface Elo | 1489 | 1386 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Sutton | 3 - 3 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Sutton | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Carlisle | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Gateshead | 4 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Gateshead | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Tamworth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Tamworth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Halifax | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Forest Green | 2 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Forest Green | 2 - 2 | Wealdstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |