OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Crawley Town 0.20 1 - 1 1.00 Tranmere
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.4%39%+5.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.2%78%-1.8%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 55.0%53%+1.6%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.9%57%-1.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.2%26.3%32.5%
xgboost40.1%23.8%36.1%
logistic37.4%27.8%34.9%
Inputs the models saw
Crawley TownTranmere
Elo (pre-match)13051354
Surface Elo13051354
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.201.00
Form trend0.00-0.40
Season points per game0.501.25
Season goals for / game1.101.25
Season goals against / game2.001.25
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W5 W · 0 D
Crawley Town: last 5
20 OctHShrewsbury2 - 3L
20 OctHShrewsbury2 - 3L
17 OctASalford1 - 2L
17 OctASalford1 - 2L
10 OctHChesterfield2 - 2D
Tranmere: last 5
20 OctANorthampton1 - 0W
20 OctANorthampton1 - 0W
17 OctHBarnet1 - 2L
17 OctHBarnet1 - 2L
10 OctHRochdale1 - 1D
Head to head
14 Feb 2026Tranmere2 - 0Crawley Town
23 Aug 2025Crawley Town0 - 2Tranmere
23 Mar 2024Tranmere1 - 3Crawley Town
16 Sep 2023Crawley Town3 - 2Tranmere
15 Apr 2023Crawley Town2 - 1Tranmere
28 Feb 2023Tranmere1 - 0Crawley Town
22 Jan 2022Crawley Town0 - 1Tranmere
02 Oct 2021Tranmere2 - 1Crawley Town
06 Mar 2021Tranmere0 - 1Crawley Town
27 Oct 2020Crawley Town4 - 0Tranmere
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.5040.0%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.2031.2%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.6537.7%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7457.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC