OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:30 UTC · finished
Hannover 1.40 1 - 1 1.60 St Pauli
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.1%45%+3.5%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 74.4%72%+2.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.1%60%+3.2%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.4%63%-6.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.7%27.5%32.8%
xgboost42.3%30.3%27.4%
logistic48.1%27.3%24.5%
Inputs the models saw
HannoverSt Pauli
Elo (pre-match)15031476
Surface Elo15031476
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.60
Form trend0.40-0.60
Season points per game1.001.43
Season goals for / game1.001.43
Season goals against / game1.711.14
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Hannover: last 5
10 OctAMagdeburg0 - 3L
10 OctAMagdeburg0 - 3L
03 OctHSC Verl2 - 0W
20 SepHBochum2 - 1W
20 SepHBochum2 - 1W
St Pauli: last 5
11 OctHKarlsruher SC2 - 0W
11 OctHKarlsruhe2 - 0W
03 OctHBorussia M´gladbach1 - 1D
20 SepACottbus1 - 1D
20 SepACottbus1 - 1D
Head to head
21 Apr 2024Hannover1 - 2St Pauli
10 Nov 2023St Pauli0 - 0Hannover
05 Feb 2023St Pauli2 - 0Hannover
23 Jul 2022Hannover2 - 2St Pauli
20 Feb 2022St Pauli0 - 3Hannover
11 Sep 2021Hannover1 - 0St Pauli
16 May 2021St Pauli1 - 2Hannover
16 Jan 2021Hannover2 - 3St Pauli
17 Jun 2020Hannover4 - 0St Pauli
30 Nov 2019St Pauli0 - 1Hannover
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.8035.7%17 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%17 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%17 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%17 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1546.5%17 Oct 19:30
SportyBet1X2away2.7536.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6162.1%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC