| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.5% | 46% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 77% | -2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.7% | 63% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 52% | +3.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.2% | 27.7% | 40.0% |
| xgboost | 34.0% | 27.6% | 38.4% |
| logistic | 30.2% | 29.1% | 40.8% |
| Charlton | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1489 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1489 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.27 | 0.82 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.91 | 1.55 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.36 | 1.91 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Watford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Watford | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Burnley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Burnley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Bristol City | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Oct | H | Bristol City | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Portsmouth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Portsmouth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Charlton | 0 - 1 | Norwich |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 1 - 0 | Charlton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.01 | 49.8% | 24 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 24 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 24 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.24 | 44.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.56 | 28.1% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.31 | 30.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.91 | 52.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.94 | 51.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |