| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.8% | 82% | +0.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 78.4% | 21.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 77.8% | 22.1% |
| logistic | 73.6% | 26.4% |
| Kilian Feldbausch | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1678 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1678 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.90 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Gabriel Debru | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Nino Ehrenschneider | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Perego, Giulio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Fnu Nidunjianzan | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.95 | 25.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |