| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.7% | 97% | -28.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 87.9% | 12.0% |
| logistic | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Fares Zakaria | Courtney John Lock | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1442 | 1354 |
| Surface Elo | 1442 | 1354 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 26 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Robert Strombachs | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Luca Castagnola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Poritskyy, Andriy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Alex Rybakov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Marlon Vankan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Yshai Oliel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Iiro Vasa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Nov | H | Goncalo Oliveira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Matteo Covato | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.00 | 11.1% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.03 | 97.1% | 21 Oct 06:15 |