OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ France Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Angers 1.40 2 - 5 0.60 Marseille
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 52.5%46%+6.5%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 77.9%73%+5.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 68.7%62%+6.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 69.0%62%+6.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson21.6%24.7%53.6%
xgboost26.6%19.3%54.1%
logistic23.1%27.4%49.5%
Inputs the models saw
AngersMarseille
Elo (pre-match)15621690
Surface Elo15621690
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.60
Form trend0.30-0.60
Season points per game0.003.00
Season goals for / game1.002.00
Season goals against / game5.000.00
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 3 D
Angers: last 5
10 OctABrest1 - 5L
10 OctABrest1 - 5L
19 SepHTroyes2 - 0W
12 SepALe Havre0 - 0D
06 SepHRennes1 - 2L
Marseille: last 5
15 OctHOlympiacos0 - 1L
11 OctATroyes2 - 0W
11 OctATroyes2 - 0W
20 SepHParis Saint Germain1 - 2L
11 SepARennes0 - 1L
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Angers2 - 5Marseille
29 Oct 2025Marseille2 - 2Angers
09 Feb 2025Angers0 - 2Marseille
04 Oct 2024Marseille1 - 1Angers
14 May 2023Marseille3 - 1Angers
30 Sep 2022Angers0 - 3Marseille
04 Feb 2022Marseille5 - 2Angers
22 Sep 2021Angers0 - 0Marseille
16 May 2021Marseille3 - 2Angers
23 Dec 2020Angers2 - 1Marseille
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1746.1%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7826.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2930.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6062.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC