| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.1% | 66% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.1% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 60.2% | 39.1% |
| logistic | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Edmonton Oilers | Seattle Kraken | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1402 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1402 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 6.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 9 - 7 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Vancouver Canucks | 5 - 6 | L |
| 01 May | A | Anaheim Ducks | 2 - 5 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Apr | A | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 4 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 6 - 1 | W |
| 17 Apr | A | Colorado Avalanche | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Apr | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 4 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Los Angeles Kings | 3 - 5 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | Calgary Flames | 4 - 1 | W |
| 01 Apr 2026 | Edmonton Oilers | 3 - 0 | Seattle Kraken |
| 05 Dec 2025 | Edmonton Oilers | 9 - 4 | Seattle Kraken |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Seattle Kraken | 0 - 4 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 2 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 28 Mar 2025 | Seattle Kraken | 6 - 1 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Edmonton Oilers | 5 - 4 | Seattle Kraken |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Edmonton Oilers | 4 - 2 | Seattle Kraken |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Seattle Kraken | 2 - 4 | Edmonton Oilers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 03 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.72 | 36.8% | 03 Oct 21:20 |