| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | 58% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| logistic | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Felix Gill | Radu Mihai Papoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1611 | 1606 |
| Surface Elo | 1611 | 1606 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | Radu Mihai Papoe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |