OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🇮🇹 Serie A · Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Torino 1.80 1 - 1 0.60 Lecce
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.5%55%-5.1%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 76.1%82%-5.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 66.4%74%-7.9%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.4%53%+4.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.9%27.8%23.3%
xgboost49.8%25.6%24.6%
logistic46.9%26.6%26.6%
Inputs the models saw
TorinoLecce
Elo (pre-match)16241553
Surface Elo16241553
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.60
Form trend0.900.30
Season points per game1.300.90
Season goals for / game1.401.10
Season goals against / game1.602.10
Rest days65
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W4 W · 1 D
Torino: last 5
01 NovAFrosinone0 - 2L
01 NovAFrosinone0 - 2L
27 OctHComo1 - 3L
27 OctHComo1 - 3L
23 OctHMonza3 - 2W
Lecce: last 5
01 NovHGenoa1 - 2L
01 NovHGenoa1 - 2L
29 OctAFrosinone1 - 5L
29 OctAFrosinone1 - 5L
25 OctHJuventus0 - 2L
Head to head
01 Feb 2026Torino1 - 0Lecce
30 Nov 2025Lecce2 - 1Torino
18 May 2025Lecce1 - 0Torino
15 Sep 2024Torino0 - 0Lecce
16 Feb 2024Torino2 - 0Lecce
28 Oct 2023Lecce0 - 1Torino
12 Mar 2023Lecce0 - 2Torino
05 Sep 2022Torino1 - 0Lecce
02 Feb 2020Lecce4 - 0Torino
16 Sep 2019Torino1 - 2Lecce
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.2519.1%07 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%07 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2home1.7357.8%07 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0050.0%07 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%07 Nov 14:00
SportyBet1X2away4.5821.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7726.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8753.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8753.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9850.5%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC