| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.5% | 55% | -2.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.3% | 83% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.2% | 74% | -5.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 48% | +3.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.4% | 26.6% | 26.0% |
| xgboost | 46.4% | 29.4% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 53.7% | 25.1% | 21.1% |
| East Kilbride | Airdrie Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1533 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1533 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.78 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.89 | 0.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 03 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Stranraer | 3 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Celtic | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Montrose | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Peterhead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Alloa | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Queen of Sth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | East Fife | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Airdrie Utd | 1 - 1 | East Kilbride |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |