| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.1% | 72% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 70.5% | 29.5% |
| logistic | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| Anton Matusevich | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1415 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1415 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 27 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Michele Ribecai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jun | H | Tobias Kamke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Apr | A | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Mar | H | Timofey Skatov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Dec | A | Edoardo Lavagno | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |