| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.1% | 75% | -13.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.5% | 77.4% |
| logistic | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Mikhail Kukushkin | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1613 | 1632 |
| Surface Elo | 1613 | 1632 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 168 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 May | A | Mark Lajal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Tianhui Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Apr | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Apr | A | Leandro Riedi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Mikhail Kukushkin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Mikhail Kukushkin | 2 - 0 | Stefanos Sakellaridis |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.45 | 29.0% | 19 Oct 06:15 |