| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.9% | 71% | -15.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.7% | 31.2% |
| logistic | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1387 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1387 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Ida Wobker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Kamilla Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Nicholls, Olivia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Ankita Raina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Amelie Brooks | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Anouk Koevermans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Novak, Kristina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Anna Blinkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |