OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Nurnberg 1.60 2 - 0 1.00 Darmstadt
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 60.8%60%+0.9%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 82.0%85%-2.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 77.0%78%-0.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.0%67%-5.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 56.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.4%24.1%26.5%
xgboost71.4%15.2%13.5%
logistic63.8%22.5%13.7%
Inputs the models saw
NurnbergDarmstadt
Elo (pre-match)15341409
Surface Elo15341409
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.00
Form trend0.100.00
Season points per game2.100.90
Season goals for / game2.400.90
Season goals against / game1.301.90
Rest days57
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W6 W · 1 D
Nurnberg: last 5
01 NovASt Pauli3 - 1W
24 OctHKaiserslautern0 - 1L
16 OctACottbus1 - 1D
10 OctHWolfsburg4 - 4D
19 SepAKarlsruhe1 - 0W
Darmstadt: last 5
31 OctHMagdeburg1 - 1D
31 OctHMagdeburg1 - 1D
27 OctAElversberg2 - 0W
23 OctHSt Pauli0 - 0D
23 OctHSt Pauli0 - 0D
Head to head
23 Jan 2026Darmstadt2 - 0Nurnberg
08 Aug 2025Nurnberg0 - 1Darmstadt
31 Jan 2025Nurnberg1 - 0Darmstadt
25 Aug 2024Darmstadt1 - 1Nurnberg
31 Mar 2023Nurnberg0 - 1Darmstadt
17 Sep 2022Darmstadt2 - 0Nurnberg
09 Apr 2022Nurnberg3 - 1Darmstadt
29 Oct 2021Darmstadt2 - 0Nurnberg
06 Feb 2021Darmstadt1 - 2Nurnberg
05 Oct 2020Nurnberg2 - 3Darmstadt
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.5022.2%07 Nov 12:00
Bet3651X2draw4.2023.8%07 Nov 12:00
Bet3651X2home1.6560.6%07 Nov 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4867.6%07 Nov 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6038.5%07 Nov 12:00
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC