OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 25 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Inter 2.60 2 - 1 0.80 Fiorentina
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 70.6%73%-2.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 90.3%91%-0.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 88.1%88%+0.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 69.1%70%-1.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson71.4%16.6%12.0%
xgboost77.6%12.3%10.1%
logistic79.0%15.3%5.7%
Inputs the models saw
InterFiorentina
Elo (pre-match)19301616
Surface Elo19301616
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.600.80
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game2.710.57
Season goals for / game3.001.14
Season goals against / game1.292.43
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
Inter: last 5
24 OctHASD Sorrento 19451 - 1D
21 OctHShakhtar D1 - 0W
17 OctABologna3 - 1W
17 OctABologna3 - 1W
17 OctHSS Monopoli2 - 4L
Fiorentina: last 5
18 OctHComo1 - 3L
18 OctHComo1 - 3L
10 OctAGenoa1 - 2L
10 OctAGenoa1 - 2L
20 SepHNapoli1 - 1D
Head to head
22 Mar 2026Fiorentina1 - 1Inter
29 Oct 2025Inter3 - 0Fiorentina
10 Feb 2025Inter2 - 1Fiorentina
06 Feb 2025Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
28 Jan 2024Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
03 Sep 2023Inter4 - 0Fiorentina
01 Apr 2023Inter0 - 1Fiorentina
22 Oct 2022Fiorentina3 - 4Inter
19 Mar 2022Inter1 - 1Fiorentina
21 Sep 2021Fiorentina1 - 3Inter
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away6.5015.4%25 Oct 11:30
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%25 Oct 11:30
Bet3651X2home1.3872.5%25 Oct 11:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4071.4%25 Oct 11:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.0033.3%25 Oct 11:30
SportyBet1X2away7.4913.4%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8517.1%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4071.4%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4170.9%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.0033.3%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC