OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Genk 1.20 3 - 0 0.60 Kortrijk
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 61.9%70%-7.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.2%91%-5.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 79.3%87%-7.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.3%65%-10.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson71.4%18.3%10.3%
xgboost73.2%13.1%13.8%
logistic68.0%20.5%11.4%
Inputs the models saw
GenkKortrijk
Elo (pre-match)16151416
Surface Elo16151416
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.60
Form trend0.40-0.60
Season points per game1.290.43
Season goals for / game1.860.29
Season goals against / game1.712.14
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W3 W · 0 D
Genk: last 5
03 OctHFortuna Sittard1 - 2L
20 SepAClub Brugge0 - 3L
20 SepAClub Brugge0 - 3L
13 SepHGent1 - 1D
06 SepAAnderlecht0 - 0D
Kortrijk: last 5
20 SepHBeveren1 - 0W
20 SepHWaasland-Beveren1 - 0W
13 SepARAAL La Louviere0 - 3L
06 SepHWaregem0 - 2L
03 SepAAnderlecht0 - 1L
Head to head
07 Dec 2024Genk3 - 2Kortrijk
05 Oct 2024Kortrijk2 - 1Genk
17 Dec 2023Genk4 - 0Kortrijk
29 Oct 2023Kortrijk0 - 3Genk
26 Dec 2022Kortrijk1 - 0Genk
08 Oct 2022Genk2 - 1Kortrijk
27 Feb 2022Genk2 - 0Kortrijk
07 Aug 2021Kortrijk1 - 2Genk
09 Jan 2021Kortrijk2 - 1Genk
19 Dec 2020Genk2 - 0Kortrijk
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away6.5015.4%10 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw4.7521.1%10 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home1.3673.5%10 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4867.6%10 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6038.5%10 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away6.6615.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.9920.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4569.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5365.4%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC