| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.2% | 67% | -10.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| logistic | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Andrew Fenty | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1432 | 1406 |
| Surface Elo | 1432 | 1406 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Lui Maxted | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Shunsuke Mitsui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alafia Ayeni | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Keshav Chopra | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Liam Draxl | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |