| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.5% | 67% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| logistic | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| Leylah Fernandez | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1698 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1698 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Alycia Parks | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Kyoka Okamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Viktoria Morvayova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Fiona Ferro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Talia Gibson |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 27 Sep 06:15 |