| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.9% | 78% | -21.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.5% | 32.4% |
| logistic | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1429 | 1456 |
| Surface Elo | 1429 | 1456 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Gonzalo Villanueva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alex Hernandez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Jesse Flores | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | Franco Ribero |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |