| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.8% | 47% | +3.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.3% | 41.6% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Anton Matusevich | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1526 | 1608 |
| Surface Elo | 1526 | 1608 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 24 | 38 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Michele Ribecai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Marek Gengel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Anton Matusevich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Marek Gengel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Anton Matusevich | 1 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 17 Sep 06:15 |