| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.7% | 81% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.4% | 79.5% |
| logistic | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Nicolas Zanellato | Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1438 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1438 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 715 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Mateo Barreiros Reyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Breno Braga | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Jun | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Conner Huertas Del Pino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Maximilian Marterer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Goncalo Oliveira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Corentin Denolly | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 May 2024 | Nicolas Zanellato | 0 - 2 | Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |