| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.5% | 39% | +2.3% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 78% | -3.4% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.1% | 53% | -0.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 42% | +13.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.4% | 24.9% | 35.7% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 27.7% | 42.3% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 28.4% | 31.2% |
| Greuther Furth | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1397 | 1415 |
| Surface Elo | 1397 | 1415 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Osnabruck | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Osnabruck | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Hoffenheim | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Dresden | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Dresden | 3 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 0 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 2 | Greuther Furth |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Greuther Furth | 0 - 2 | Holstein Kiel |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Greuther Furth | 2 - 1 | Holstein Kiel |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Holstein Kiel | 2 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Holstein Kiel | 2 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 16 Jul 2022 | Greuther Furth | 2 - 2 | Holstein Kiel |
| 22 Feb 2021 | Greuther Furth | 2 - 1 | Holstein Kiel |
| 24 Oct 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 3 | Greuther Furth |
| 08 Mar 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 29 Sep 2019 | Greuther Furth | 0 - 3 | Holstein Kiel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |