| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.9% | 84% | -4.2% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 82.2% | 17.8% |
| logistic | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Nuno Borges | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1866 | 1714 |
| Surface Elo | 1866 | 1714 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 24 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 31 Aug | A | Learner Tien | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | Brandon Nakashima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Aug | A | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Federico Cina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Moez Echargui | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Nicolas Mejia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Miomir Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.70 | 21.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 23 Sep 06:15 |